Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.326480 0.430122 0.543608 0.675205 0.821897 0.978913 1.158288
2025-08-31 0.168547 0.296566 0.455204 0.656296 0.896392 1.167439 1.490805
2025-09-07 0.102584 0.235621 0.418009 0.663879 0.970085 1.326281 1.761043
2025-09-14 0.055734 0.182252 0.377352 0.657034 1.019009 1.451044 1.988354
2025-09-21 0.024845 0.136507 0.335402 0.639205 1.046941 1.544901 2.174271
2025-09-28 0.014259 0.123075 0.337806 0.678721 1.145785 1.723374 2.459650
2025-10-05 0.008307 0.115876 0.348012 0.727821 1.256201 1.915560 2.761205
2025-10-12 0.003616 0.105689 0.350687 0.764583 1.349448 2.085920 3.036147
2025-10-19 0.001853 0.104556 0.368831 0.823856 1.472632 2.293755 3.356756
2025-10-26 0.000442 0.098943 0.377255 0.867814 1.574816 2.475049 3.645050
2025-11-02 NaN 0.083749 0.363962 0.876870 1.628496 2.594358 3.857085
2025-11-09 NaN 0.055606 0.315683 0.826708 1.597774 2.604171 3.932918
2025-11-16 NaN 0.031158 0.264986 0.769275 1.557043 2.603616 4.000604
2025-11-23 NaN 0.018950 0.238431 0.749258 1.567991 2.669478 4.150986
2025-11-30 NaN 0.013246 0.228685 0.757320 1.618712 2.786755 4.365167
2025-12-07 NaN 0.007366 0.211667 0.750000 1.645608 2.871844 4.538337
2025-12-14 NaN 0.002703 0.189922 0.730871 1.653226 2.930186 4.676816
2025-12-21 NaN 0.002498 0.199153 0.773237 1.754635 3.114904 4.976716
2025-12-28 NaN 0.002797 0.213330 0.825770 1.871810 3.321107 5.304326
2026-01-04 NaN 0.002450 0.220979 0.865030 1.968660 3.499962 5.597136
2026-01-11 NaN 0.003244 0.240291 0.928214 2.102471 3.728980 5.954352
2026-01-18 NaN 0.003234 0.251537 0.974986 2.211119 3.924093 6.268364
2026-01-25 NaN 0.001680 0.244751 0.984614 2.262467 4.041667 6.483180